In March 2002, when satellite images showed that 1300 square miles of Antarctica’s Larsen B ice shelf—a slab bigger than the state of Rhode Island—had fragmented into a mass of floating ice chunks, scientists began to view Earth’s polar regions in a new way.
“Suddenly the possibility that global warming might cause rapid change in the icy polar world was real,” said polar geophysicist Robin Bell, lead scientist for the Changing Ice, Changing Coastlines initiative at Columbia’s Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory. When Larsen B broke apart, the glaciers feeding the ice shelf started slipping more rapidly into the sea, adding to its volume. “For a long time people didn’t think ice shelves mattered, but when Larson B broke up and we saw the ice streams speed up, we knew they mattered.”
In response, Bell and her colleagues developed a project to monitor the world’s largest block of floating ice. For two years, the Rosetta-Ice Project has been flying over Antarctica’s Ross Ice Shelf, assembling an unprecedented view of its structure and hints of how that structure is changing over time. Rosetta will fly for the last time this fall, but the project’s scientific legacy will continue to thrive for decades to come.
Why Ice Shelves Matter
The great ice sheets blanketing Greenland and Antarctica hold enough water to raise the global sea level by more than 200 feet. For context, a third of the world’s population lives within about 300 feet of sea level, and many of the planet’s largest cities are situated near an ocean. Ice shelves—floating platforms of ice—help to hold the ice sheets safely on land.
Ice shelves, like icebergs, are mainly below the waterline. This means that the majority of the shelf is not visible to the unaided eye. Ten years ago, scientists wanted to find a way to study how the ice, ocean, and underlying land interact so they could identify potential change in the ice shelf from climate change. So Bell and a colleague developed the idea for a project that would achieve that level of understanding of the Ross Ice Shelf. At the time, the sophisticated equipment needed to track above and delve beneath and within the ice shelf had yet to be developed.
That changed with the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009. Bell’s team was awarded a multi-million grant to develop IcePod, an integrated ice imaging system that can measure in detail both the ice surface and the ice bed. The system is enclosed in a pod that is mounted on the rear door of an aircraft. The pod is equipped with instruments that collect an array of measurements and is deployed for routine and targeted missions across Antarctica and Greenland. With the ability to regularly collect concurrent data on the change in ice volume and the underlying processes, IcePod allows researchers to examine not just “how fast” the ice sheets are changing but “why.”
Seeing Through the Ice
“The project is much like the Rosetta Stone,” said Lamont polar scientist Margie Turin. “The historic stone was inscribed in three different scripts, each telling the same story but in a different tongue. When matched together, the information was enough to allow scholars to decode an ancient language. The Rosetta Project in Antarctica also brings together three different ‘scripts,’ but in this case they are written by three Earth systems; the ice, the ocean, and the underlying bed each have a story to tell. Mapped together, these three systems can be used to unlock the mysteries of Antarctic ice history in this region and help us to develop models for predicting future changes in Antarctic ice.”
Ice shelves are vulnerable from two directions: warming air above and warming water below. Scientists have been measuring air temperatures for several years, but measuring water temperatures beneath the ice is more difficult. Bell and her colleagues in the Rosetta-Ice Project have been flying transects across the ice shelf over the past two years, using IcePod to map the floating ice shelf and the sea floor below it, looking in particular for channels where less-cold water could be getting in and melting the ice shelf from below.
Once completed, the Rosetta-Ice Project will be a critical milestone in climate science.